Checking date: 25/04/2019


Course: 2019/2020

Probability
(17753)
Study: Master in Statistics for Data Science (345)
EPI


Coordinating teacher: CASCOS FERNANDEZ, IGNACIO

Department assigned to the subject: Department of Statistics

Type: Compulsory
ECTS Credits: 3.0 ECTS

Course:
Semester:




Competences and skills that will be acquired and learning results.
Knowledge acquisition of: 1) random variables, elementary probability and distributions; 2) relevant probabilistic inequalities; 3) random vectors, marginal and joint distributions; 4) sequences of random variables and concepts of convergences; 5) Markov chains; 6) Poisson processes; 7) processes in continuous time; 8) univariate and multivariate simulation methods; 9) non-parametric and parametric resampling methods.
Description of contents: programme
1. Random experiments 1.1 Events 1.2 Probability 1.3 Conditional probability 1.4 Bayes' formula 1.5 Independence 1.6 Combinatorics 2. Discrete random Variables 2.1 Definition of random variable 2.2 Probability mass function and cumulative distribution function 2.3 Mean, variance, and quantiles 2.4 Binomial, Geometric, Poisson, Negative Binomial, and Hypergeometric distributions 3. Continuous random variables 3.1 Density mass function and cumulative distribution function 3.2 Mean, variance, and quantiles 3.3 Transformations of a random variable 3.4 Uniform, Exponential, Normal, Gamma, and Beta distributions 4. Random vectors 4.1 Joint distributions, marginal distributions, and conditional distributions 4.2 Independence 4.3 Transformations of random vectors 4.4 Multivariate Normal and Multinomial distributions 4.5 Sums of random variables 4.6 Mixtures 4.7 General concepto of random variable 4.8 Random sample 4.9 Order statistics 5. Properties of the expectation 5.1 Expectations of sums of random variables 5.2 Covariance 5.3 Conditional expectation 5.4 Conditional variance 5.5 Moment generating function 6. Limit Theorems 6.1 Markov and Chebishev inequalities 6.2 Weak Law of Large Numbers (convergence in probability) 6.3 Strong Law of Large Numbers (almost sure convergence) 6.5 Central Limit Theorem (convergence in distribution)
Assessment System
  • % end-of-term-examination 50
  • % of continuous assessment (assigments, laboratory, practicals...) 50
Basic Bibliography
  • Sheldon Ross. A First Course in Probability. Pearson Prentice Hall. 2010
Recursos electrónicosElectronic Resources *
Additional Bibliography
  • Charles M. Grinstead. Grinstead and Snell's Introduction to Probability. University Press of Florida. 2009
  • Dimitri P. Bertsekas, John N.Tsitsiklis. Introduction to Probability. Athena Scientific. 2008
Recursos electrónicosElectronic Resources *
(*) Access to some electronic resources may be restricted to members of the university community and require validation through Campus Global. If you try to connect from outside of the University you will need to set up a VPN


The course syllabus and the academic weekly planning may change due academic events or other reasons.