1. Basic concepts in Time Series Analysis.
1.1. Random samples and properties of time series.
1.2. Decomposition of a time series: trend, seasonality, cycle and noise.
1.3. Stationary transformations for trend and seasonal.
1.4. Deterministic and stochastic components.
2. Linear Univariate ARIMA models.
2.1. Sationarity and differencing.
2.2. Autocorrelation function and its estimation.
2.3. Autoregressive models AR(p).
2.4. Moving Average models MA (q).
2.5. Non seasonal ARIMA models.
2.6. Estimation and order of selection.
3.7. Forecasting.
3.8. Seasonal ARIMA models.
3. Volatility models.
3.1. ARCH and GARCH modelling.
3.2. Testing strategy for heterocedastic models.
3.3. Volatility forecast.
4. Multivariate time series
4.1. Time series regression.
4.2. VAR models.
4.3. Cointegration.
4.4. Forecasting properties.