Checking date: 25/03/2019


Course: 2019/2020

Loss Models
(14237)
Study: Master in Actuarial and Financial Sciences (224)
EPE


Coordinating teacher: USABEL RODRIGO, MIGUEL ARTURO

Department assigned to the subject: Department of Business Administration

Type: Compulsory
ECTS Credits: 3.0 ECTS

Course:
Semester:




Competences and skills that will be acquired and learning results.
Learning objectives The student will be able to understand and apply the theoretical models of non-life insurance. Learning outcomes a) Knowledge of the parametric and non-parametric models for claims frequency and severity. b) Understanding and implementing model fitting concepts. c) Knowledge of the information theory and Bayesian techniques. d) Understanding the concept of over-dispersion and risk class tarification. e) Understanding of Monte Carlo simulation techniques. f) Knowledge of the basis of ruin theory. g) Implementation of risk mitigation techniques and optimal solvency mix h) Implementation of calculation algorithms in a general-purpose programming language and specific software. Learning skills a) Analysis and synthesis b) Problem solving approach c) Work team player. d) Critical reasoning e) Written and verbal communication
Description of contents: programme
Syllabus I. The basic risk variables a. Frequency models. b. Severity models. c. Fitting techniques. d. Study of convolutions. e. The total claims process. f. Computer based implementations. II. Bayesian tarification techniques a. Information theory and the Bayesian grid. b. The concept of over-dispersion. c. Bayesian tarification techniques III. The Monte Carlo simulation and ruin theory. a. Random numbers generation b. The Monte Carlo gross simulation c. Introduction to ruin theory d. Barrier crossing problems e. Computer-based algorithms. IV. Dynamic solvency studies a. Initial reserves optimization. b. Sum assured limits c. Security loading d. Deductibles e. Reinsurance f. Optimal solvency mix
Learning activities and methodology
TEACHING METHODOLOGY I. THEORETICAL CONTENTS a. Classroom interactive work. b. Web based materials and handouts c. Tutorial work. d. Recommended international bibliography. e. Office hours and email interaction. II. PRACTICE a. Examples and exercises and previous exams classroom solving. b. Daily students┬┐ involvement and presentations. c. Computer work. d. Debates and bringing up different standpoints on topics. Critical thinking
Assessment System
  • % end-of-term-examination 60
  • % of continuous assessment (assigments, laboratory, practicals...) 40

The course syllabus and the academic weekly planning may change due academic events or other reasons.