The course analyzes the main demographic phenomena and develops the explanatory theories regarding the relationship between the different demographic variables and economic, social and environmental factors. The ethical implications of the demographic policies carried out in the last century are also examined.
1. Size, growth and spatial location of the world population.
2. History of demographic theories: ancient and medieval works, mercantilists and physiocrats, Adam Smith, Thomas Malthus, Karl Marx, mathematical theories.
3. Relationship between demographic growth and economic development:
- Pessimists: Kingsley Davis, Ansley Coale, Edgar Hoover, the World Bank
- Neutrals: Richard Easterlin, the US National Academy of Sciences.
- Optimists: the French school, Simon Kuznets, Ester Boserup, the Chicago School of Economics, Julian Simon, the Austrian School of Economics.
- Analysis of data that confirms or refutes the different theories presented.
4. The fertility transition and changes in family structures:
- Historical evolution of different indicators
- Notable sociodemographic events: the baby boom, the baby bust, the effect of nuptiality, fertility and immigration, aging fertility, adoptions, assisted reproduction and surrogate wombs, births outside of marriage, infertility, the difficult transition to the second child , gap between reproductive desires and realities, contraception and abortion, second demographic transition: the weakening of the traditional family
- Causes of the historical fall in fertility
5. The transition of health and mortality:
- Historical evolution of mortality levels (the Preston curve) and analysis of its causes.
- Analysis of mortality according to age (rectangularization of the survival curve) and sex.
6. Changes in the structure of populations according to age and sex:
- The aging of Western countries
- Demographic dividend
- Impact of migratory flows on the structure of populations
- Aging and the Welfare State (pay-as-you-go pension systems and public healthcare)
- Sex imbalances caused by female feticide and infanticide
7. Demographic growth and availability of natural resources
- The neo-Malthusian pessimists: Garret Hardin, Paul Ehrlich, the Club of Rome, the United Nations, Al Gore, the ecomesías, degrowth.
- The Cornucopians: Julian Simon, George Reisman
- Population growth and food availability
- Analysis of data that confirms or refutes the different theories presented.
8. Demographic growth and environment:
- The environmental movement and the demographic brake as an environmental protection strategy
- Environmental protection through the free market
- Data on the evolution of environmental indicators
- Anthropogenic global warming? Analysis of competing perspectives
9. International migration flows:
- X-ray of international migrations
- Explanatory theories of the beginning of migratory flows
- Explanatory theories of the maintenance of migratory flows
- Openness, key to the success of humanity
- Economic consequences of international migratory flows for host countries: employment, income, labor mobility, productivity
- Immigration and the Welfare State: threat or support? Fiscal impact of immigration and foreign currency remittances
- The need for highly skilled and unskilled immigrant labor
- The cost of human lives of the migration process
- Economic consequences of international migration for the countries of origin
- Immigration and crime
10. Demographic policies:
- The origins of the movement in favor of population control (Malthus, Spencer, Galton, eugenics)
- Neoeugenics
- The role of the United States in promoting population control policies
- The one-child policy in China
- Other demographic control programs: India, Bangladesh, Peru
- Public and private institutions that promote demographic control: United Nations, World Bank, large private foundations.
- The teachings of different religions regarding demographic matters (Christianity, Judaism, Islam, Hinduism)